Another one for the "I hope I'm wrong"/"call me Cassandra" department:the triumph in Baghdad is probably the beginning of a nasty nightmare in Iraqwhat woud change it: real genuine reform in Iraq, power-sharing with all Iraqi sectors, as well as progress on the Israel-Palestine front.The absence of any one of these elements may well lead to Lebanon Part II.We also haven't seen the end of what may go down in the north.