04/01/03: Post by Franklin
Posted by: BLOWBACK
A reminder: the Administration's gamble is that Iraq would fall quickly, by driving out Hussein, and US/UK forces would be welcomed as liberators. Why this assumption? Because during Gulf I, coalition forces had difficulty keeping up with all the Iraqi surrenders - and soon there were spontaneous uprisings in the south and north - which were crushed by Hussein as we watched.This is not happening, although the Administration has faith that once Hussein is captured or killed, the war will be over. However, the possible beginning of sucide bombings as well as the shift to unconventional warfare may ensure this is a long quagmire, regardless of what happens to Hussein.The shift to unconventional warfare is good news to Hussein and really bad news to US/UK. Washington Post, Tuesday, April 1, pg. A21, summarized this well in quoting a Pentagon official: "Everyone is now seen as a combatant until proven otherwise." This means that all of Iraq is considered hostile and major fuck-ups, like the killing of ten civilians, including five children who "appreared to be under 5 years old" yesterday, March 31 (Washington Post, front page "A Gruesome Scene on Highway 9: 10 dead after vehicle shelled at checkpoint"), will only increase. This is bound to anger even more Iraqis who could have welcomed US/UK forces. Not to mention spreading anger throughout the region.